Thursday, April 21, 2011
It can be very rewarding if you put together the right exotic wager, whether it's the $2 exacta which has averaged over $1,400 over the last 11 years or the $0.10 superfecta. I'm going for the triple this year, it's been the one bet that keeps alluding me. Last year I had the first two spots, but no Paddy. Two years ago I had PioneeroftheNile and Musket Man in the second and third slots, but no Mine That Bird.
I read somewhere that you should have two speed/stalker types and two closers in your exotics. Interesting and we'll keep that in mind when building our trifecta bet this year. In 2006 the last Derby I attended in person, the two deep closers, Steppenwolfer and Jazil completed the tri and super respectively. Playing the closers can be dangerous due to the traffic issues caused in the Derby (see 2010 - Ice Box).
Let's hope it stays dry this year after the last two years in the slop. So what have we noted so far in during our studies? One horse that has been cast aside after his poor showing in the Florida Derby is Soldat. I spend time looking at each horse and watching his races and looking into the pedigree to see if there are any hidden nuggets. Soldat's dam sire was Coronado's Quest, winner of the Remsen S., Nashua S., Travers S., Wood Memorial, Haskell Invitational and the Riva Ridge. Not too shabby. Looks like his underneath pedigree has what it takes. Mixed with his sire War Front's speed, he is one to consider. He also has a nice wet Tomlinson, so if comes up wet, he should be in the mix. Is he my Derby horse? Too early to tell, but interesting nuggets.
Ok...time to go Paint The Fence...