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Monday, April 26, 2010

Exacta-ly What I'm Looking For

One of the things I love to take a crack at on Derby Day is the Exacta. Over the last ten years the $2 payout has averaged a whopping $1,547.80. Even if you throw out four of the boxcar years of 2009, 2005, 2002 and 2001 the $2 exacta paid an average of $176. So it's a good one to take a stab at on Derby Day.

I also just realized in discussing the departure of the favorite, that I made only one future bet this year (Pool 3) and it was a $1 exacta box of Lookin at Lucky, Dublin and All Others. Which means for the cost of $6, I have an exacta box that also includes in the All Others category the following horses: Line of David, Mission Impazible, Stately Victor, Endorsement, American Lion, Devil May Care, Dean's Kitten and Paddy O'Prado. The Pool 3 $2 exacta will pays are found here.

Here's a rundown of the last ten year's of exacta winners and $2 payouts:

2009: Mine That Bird/Pioneerof the Nile $2,074.80
2008: Big Brown/Eight Belles $141.60
2007: Street Sense/Hard Spun $101.80
2006: Barbaro/Bluegrass Cat $587.00
2005: Giacomo/Closing Argument $9,814.80
2004: Smarty Jones/Lion Heart $65.20
2003: Funny Cide/Empire Maker $97.00
2002: War Emblem/Proud Citizen $1,300.80
2001: Monarchos/Invisible Ink $1,229.00
2000: Fusaichi Pegasus/Aptitude $66.00

Only in 2004 did the top two choices finish 1-2 in the exacta, but it still paid pretty decent for $2. So what are some of our options for the 2010 Derby exacta??

"The Lucky Devil" Exacta: Lookin at Lucky with Devil May Care

"The James Cameron" Exacta: American Lion with Stately Victor

"The Toddster Five Horse Box": Mission Impazible, Super Saver, Devil May Care, Interactif, and Discreetly Mine (cost $20 btw)

"The Irish Car Bomb" Exacta: Dublin with Paddy O'Prado

"The Drug Deal" Exacta: Homeboykris with Sidney's Candy

"The Big Gun Baffert" or "I'm Bob Baffert Bitches" Exacta: Lookin at Lucky with Conveyance

"The Cat-Zacta" Exacta: American Lion with Dean's Kitten

"The Tiger Woods" Exacta: Awesome Act with Discreetly Mine

and finally....

"The Hell Freezes Over" Exacta: Ice Box with Devil May Care

So now you know, what I'm looking for (on Derby Day)....

5 Comments:

tencentcielo said...

I love the exacta. It is the only bet you don't have to spread to have any confidence in cashing.

A couple of others:
The "found the love of my life" Exacta: Lookin at Lucky with Sidney's Candy

The Campaign Trial Exacta: Endorsement with Stately Victor

The "I mean what i say" exacta: Noble's Promise with Conveyance

SaratogaSpa said...

For a large horse field the exacta is a must play for me on Derby Day.

some others..
"The Roman Ruler" Exacta: Rule with HomeboyKris

"The High Achiever" Exacta": Awesome Act with Mission Impazible

tencentcielo said...

Mean what you say exacta: Conveyance wth Backtalk

The political pundit exacta:
Endorsement with Backtalk

EquiSpace said...

10cent and Spa...nice work...and I have a new one

Zito Zacta: Ice Box with Jackson Bend

Ernie said...

You sound poised to pounce, exacta, triple, Oaks/Derby double...

 

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