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Tuesday, June 1, 2010

Bombs Away Belmont

Keeping with our Triple Crown theme of looking at the $2 payouts (which we did for the Derby and the Preakness) we've scheduled out the payouts for the past ten Belmonts and it's Bombs Away! for the most part. The averages are somewhat skewed due to 3 large $70+ payouts of some super longshots who handled the Test of a Champion and lined a few pockets along the way....with a fairly large field of 12 probable as of today, we can expect more to come in the form of huge payouts on Saturday. Only 2 of the last 10 favorites were successful in winning the race (Afleet Alex [2005] and newly anointed Hall of Famer Point Given [2001]). Empire Maker won as the 2-1 second choice in 2003. Here's a peek at the past ten Belmont Stakes:

Note: In 2008 there was a dead heat for show, so I used the higher of the two payouts for the tri and super payouts (they were close).

The average odds of the winning horse over the past ten years is 19-1 amounting to an average $2 win payout of $40. So with no prohibitive favorite (Ice Box will be the most likely get the nod as this year's favorite) the race appears to be wide open.

More later this week, prior to the launch of the Space Shuttle down to Big Sandy for our 5th consecutive Belmont Day.... I'm half rooting for an Ice Box win so I can roll out the Ice Ice Baby video....with a Ice Double (last year = Tim Ice).



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