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Ok now that the tryptophan is out of the system I can get back to business....
One of the best handicapping overlays I have ever taken advantage of (and actually jumped on) was Purge's (see inset) Cigar Mile upset in 2005. I was sitting in an OTB passing some time while the Space Gal was home visiting relatives and noticed that the 10-1 morning line Purge was creeping upwards to 25-1. After spending some time with the PP's there was something I really liked about this horse and had played him underneath in my exotic wagers. With a minute to post I decided to pull the trigger and went across the board with him. Garret Gomez experiences a dream trip and pace scenario to close late for Todd Pletcher and win! "The 4-year-old son of Pulpit covered the mile in 1:34.26 and returned $53, $21.80 and $18.40." It was one of those moments that you get a shot at only every once and a while. Lately, I've passed on them (see Slambino on Travers Day...couldn't pull the trigger)....anyhow tomorrow's big race is once again the Cigar Mile and it has a tremendous field going a mile at the Big A.
This race has a little bit of everything. A couple of west coast stars (Monterrey Jazz and Arson Squad), a sprinting start stretching out to a mile (Kodiak Kowboy), several Classic trail horses (Visionaire and Tale of Ekati), an elder warrior (Wanderin Boy), a Canadian Classic champ (Harlem Rocker), a horse taking a major step up in class (Bribon) and an undefeated late blooming 3yo (Storm Play) also making a big class jump. Wow, where do you start?
I'm looking towards the old guy, Wanderin Boy (#6), who appears to be in great shape (two consecutive bullet works), and well rested (last raced 9/27) after losing to Curlin by 3/4 length in the Jockey Club Gold Cup. I also favor Monterrey Jazz (#8), coming off a layoff, who handled the dirt and some decent competition at Lone Star Park. I think TofE will bounce after a career best and that Visionaire (#1) should rebound after losing to TofE in the slop last out, and I'll use him underneath with Harlem Rocker (#3), Bribon (#4) and Kodiak Kowboy (#9).
I'm thinking of two plays a trifecta and an exacta:
6,8 with 6,8 with 1,3,4,9 $1 tri cost: $8
6,8 with 1,3,4,9 $1 exacta cost: $8
Good luck, let's hope to light that victory Cigar in honor of the past champ!
Friday, November 28, 2008
Light it Up...
Posted by Gene Kershner at 11:35 AM 0 comments
Labels: Cigar, Cigar Mile, Handicapping, Harlem Rocker, Monterrey Jazz, Purge, Visionaire, Wanderin Boy
Friday, November 14, 2008
Tell it to the Judge
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I have absolutely nothing meaningful (horse related) to speak of today. If this were a recording you would hit the asterisk and skip the message. So I thought I would provide a little fodder to any of you who continue to read (thanks mom) before some weekend horse posting.
One of my pals that I sit on a charitable board of directors with sells stenographic equipment and is going west and is scheduled to meet the infamous Judge Ito next week. I got excited and told him I definitely need a signed pic for my office with a Dear Geno: Tell it to the Judge! autograph. I met (happened upon) Orenthal James at Casino Niagara a few years ago in a true moment of unintentional comedy where the gals running the OTB window were asking me to get his autograph for them (my response was $5 exacta box 3 and 2). After three hours of the Space Gal and I watching the Notre Dame-USC game next to the Juice whose pal (Chris Hill I think) owned some horses down at Calder and he told me that horse owner B. Wayne Hughes stood up in one of his weddings (I didn't ask which one for fear of bringing up a sore subject)...it was one of those days where the Space Gal and I plopped down in front of the big HD TV's next to a big guy with a Reggie Bush jersey out of pure randomness who looked damned familiar. Anyways, he says he didn't do it. (wonder how the search is coming?).
So why should you never tell a joke while ice fishing? Cuz the ice will crack up, of course. (*)
Top Chef Season 5 (New Yawk) started up on Wednesday night with 17 new contestants, two of which were sent home during the opener. The Saratoga Resident is sponsoring a fantasy 'winner take all' pool and the Space Gal and I both entered for a nominal fee. It's really the bragging rights isn't it? Yours truly drew the #1 draft pick and I have my sights on my namesake Island Gene (aka The Flyin' Hawaiian) who had an awesome week one experience with a nice Indian dish. We draft after next week's episode and we'll keep y'all posted on the Top Chef handicapping and pool selections. Last survivor takes the pot. Good stuff. Pass the roquefort.
Not one race that really interests me this weekend, so I'm taking a couple weeks off to regenerate until the Cigar Mile, my favorite fall race of the Big A meet. The competition is shaping up nicely with some big names like Arson Squad, the filly Zaftig [update: she's retiring], Kodiak Kowboy, Visionaire and Tale of Ekati.
*Bad joke, courtesy of the Saratoga Resident.
Posted by Gene Kershner at 3:36 PM 0 comments
Labels: Arson Squad, Cigar Mile, Kodiak Kowboy, Saratoga Resident, Tale of Ekati, Visionaire, Zaftig